With the steady rise of commercial activity on the Internet, Congress
has been moving toward a formal prohibition of online gambling (search).
While such policies might spring from a moral viewpoint, they are unlikely
to succeed in limiting online betting. Because Internet gaming operations
are often located outside of the U.S., there is little Washington can
do to restrict their actions.
Moreover, a prohibition policy has perverse effects and encourages the
behavior it seeks to curtail. This is illustrated by a close examination
of one of the most popular forms of gambling: sports betting. There is
a large demand for sports betting (search), and a large illegal sector
has arisen to provide this activity despite a long-standing policy of
prohibition. A similar ban on all Internet-based sports betting also
is likely to fail. A legalized regime is a better way to mitigate the
potential dangers of Internet betting.
To begin, let's take a closer look at betting on major sports, which
is currently illegal in all states besides Nevada, regardless of whether
it involves the Internet. While these bans are primarily enforced by
states, the federal government does get involved if wagers cross state
lines or there is an alleged involvement of organized crime. So how successful
has this regime of prohibition been at eliminating sports betting? By
almost any measure it is a failure. A recently completed report from
the National Gambling Impact Study Commission (search) estimates that
individuals wager between $80 and $380 billion dollars with illegal bookmakers.
This is nearly 100 times the amount bet on professional sports with legal
bookmakers in Nevada.
The sheer size of the illegal sports betting markets only tells part
of the story. I recently completed an analysis of illegal bookmakers
(search) in New York City using actual records seized in a series of
arrests by the Kings County (Brooklyn) District Attorney office. I found
that illegal bookmakers utilize policies that exacerbate the potential
harm of gambling. First, they offer short-term credit, and allow bettors
to wager for a week or longer without fronting any money. Most of the
bettors in my records would be considered compulsive gamblers (search),
wagering almost every day and laying hundreds of dollars at a time.
Second, illegal bookmakers take advantage of people's mistakes. They
know that many bettors are fans of certain teams. In the case of the
bookmakers I have records for, about a quarter of the bettors appear
to be New York Yankees fans who wager consistently on their team. The
bookmakers understand this tendency and "price discriminate" (search)
against such bettors: They charge them a higher price for their Yankees
bets. While price discrimination does have an important role to play
in free markets, it is likely that consistent use of it would be precluded
if sports betting was legalized and above-board.
Right now, Internet gambling is proliferating. Internet operations catering
to U.S. citizens operate from bases in countries as diverse as Antigua,
Costa Rica and Australia.
Presuming the current attempts at prohibiting Internet sports betting
persist, what might we expect to see? First, there will be a growing
alliance between Internet bookmakers and the more traditional illegal
bookmaker. The on-street bookmakers have experience in providing and
servicing financial credit, which would be difficult for the Internet
books to provide given the difficulty of enforcing a debt contract from
afar. There is already evidence that Internet operations have started
to pay their illegal on-shore cousins to run their credit business. Such
interaction will help reinforce the influence of the illegal sector and
will exacerbate the perceived problems of sports betting, such as facilitating
money laundering.
Second, prohibition will drive the Internet operators further from the
U.S. An important feature of the Internet is that it makes physical distance
largely irrelevant, and from a bettor's perspective it is just as convenient
to wager on-line with an Antigua bookmaker as with one down the street.
As bookmakers move further from U.S. soil to escape its influence, it
will become harder and harder to legalize Internet gaming in the future
as the bookmakers get ensconced in their offshore locations.
A far more sensible policy would be to legalize Internet bookmakers.
This would allow policies to be put in place that could limit the potential
excesses of gambling and minimize the role of the criminal element. As
side benefits, a legalized regime would likely displace the widespread
illegal operations. It is perhaps understandable that such an option
is rarely considered. Gambling is a subject that many feel passionately
about. But the argument for legalization and regulation should have appeal
for opponents and supporters of gambling alike.
Koleman Strumpf, associate professor of economics at the University
of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, is a visiting fellow at the Cato Institute.
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